As of today’s close on Intrade, Obama holds a 57.0% chance of winning the U.S. presidential election in November, while Romney has a 42.3% chance.

US Presidential Election Odss 650x433 This Week In U.S. Presidential Election Odds: Obama Falls, Romney Rises

Romney made considerable gains this week following the announcement that Paul Ryan would be his running mate. Obama’s odds of 57.0% are down 1.3% from last week’s 58.3%, while Romney’s odds of 42.3% are up a whopping 3.7% from last week’s 38.6%.

Change In US Presidential Election Odds 650x433 This Week In U.S. Presidential Election Odds: Obama Falls, Romney Rises

I’m curious how much of Romney’s surge last week was related to him getting a boost for finally making a selection at all, versus his selection of Paul Ryan, versus Romney and whoever his new VP pick might have been just getting plenty of news coverage lately.

 

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