Odds of a Eurozone breakup were almost exactly flat this week, with no real news to speak of coming out of the region.
As of today’s Intrade close, the odds of any country currently using the euro to announce intention to drop it before midnight ET December 31 were as follows:
- By the end of 2012 – 15.0%. This is unchanged from last week.
- By the end of 2013 – 50.0%. This is unchanged from last week.
- By the end of 2014 – 57.5%. This is 1.5% above last week’s reading of 56.0%.