As of today’s Intrade close, the odds of any country currently using the euro to announce intention to drop it before midnight ET December 31 were as follows:

  • By the end of 2012 – 9.6%. This is 6.5% lower than last week’s odds of 16.1%.
  • By the end of 2013 – 50.0%. This is 7.0% lower than last week’s odds of 57.0%.
  • By the end of 2014 – 65.0%. This is unchanged from last week’s odds of 65.0%.

 

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