U.S. Economic Radar – August 16, 2013

Recap of the past week’s U.S. economic releases:

  • The U.S. Treasury ran a deficit of $97.6 billion in July. The rolling 12 month budget deficit is $722.7 billion which is 26.5% of receipts for that period.
  • Participation in the Supplementary Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), also know as food stamps, increased 0.18% in May to 47.6353 million people.
  • Labor productivity increased at an annual rate of 0.9% in the Q2 2013. Unit labor costs increased at an annual rate of 1.4%.
  • The consumer price index increased 0.2% in July and is up 2.0% from a year ago.
  • The producer price index was unchanged in July and is up 2.1% from a year ago.
  • The Empire State manufacturing survey declined but remains in expansion with a reading of +8.24 in August.
  • The Philly Fed also reported the results from its manufacturing survey for August which also declined but remained in expansion at a reading of +9.3.
  • Housing starts were at a SAAR of 896k in July.
  • Industrial production was unchanged in July and is up 1.4% from a year ago. It is currently at 98.9% of its 2007 level.
  • Manufacturers’ sales increased 0.2% in June while inventories were virtually unchanged. The business inventories-to-sales ratio was 1.29, the same as the month prior.
  • Consumer sentiment declined to 80.0 in its preliminary reading for August.
  • Retail sales increased 0.2% in July and are up 5.2% from a year ago.
  • Store sales are being kept alive with gains from apparel and department stores while discount and electronic stores are suffering. The weekly store sales indicators are up 2.4% Y/Y (4 week MA) and up 3.4% Y/Y (4 week MA).
  • Initial jobless claims for the week were 320k, the lowest they have been since January 2008. The insured unemployment rate was unchanged at 2.3%.

Further U.S. economy reading this week:

US Economic Radar August 16 2013 600x1378 U.S. Economic Radar   August 16, 2013

The U.S. economic schedule for the week ahead:

Monday, August 19, 2013

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

  • Chicago Fed National Activity Index – Last -0.13.
  • Weekly store sales

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Thursday, August 22, 2013

  • Kansas City Fed manufacturing survey – Last +6.
  • Weekly initial jobless claims

Friday, August 23, 2013

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